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TheWeave wrote:

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I can live with Northeastern and Kent State, but Woe-furd...the name just doesn't have much cache.

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Wofford Terriers

CHN 2009-10 Projected Overall Rank: #138

Conference Rank: #2 Southern Conference

2008-09: 16-14, 12-8

2008-09 postseason: none

Coach: Mike Young (90-117 at Wofford, 90-117 overall)

Wofford's 2008-2009 campaign certainly ended with everybody feeling unfulfilled. The Terriers ended the regular season winning five of their last six games with the only loss coming by two points in Charleston. But then the group struggled in the opening game of the conference tournament and was sent home early at the hands of Elon. That left Coach Mike Young and the rest of his team looking immediately to the future. And the future looks good.

Key Losses: G Matt Estep

Key Newcomers:

Two years ago Cameron Rundles was the Big Sky's Freshman of the Year. While at Montana he averaged 8.3 points per game and shot an incredible 47.8 percent from beyond the arc. Rundles kept getting better as the season progressed and the Grizzlies were certainly disappointed to see him transfer. But that is Wofford's gain as Rundles should immediately step into a starting position. Jamar Diggs, a fellow Minnesotan, also sat out last season as a transfer and the 6-2 guard could provide a nice spark off the bench. The Terriers need some size and they got it with Domas Rinksalis. The 6-9 center is a quality scorer around the basket and tough on the glass. The more minutes he can play, the better off this team will be.

Backcourt:

And that is because this group is very heavy on perimeter players. Brad Loesing and Jason Dawson are both quality ball handlers and Corey Godzinski is a quality scorer when he has the opportunity. Yet it is Tim Johnson, who is listed as a 6-6 wing, that should be playing most of the minutes at the three spot. Due to Johnson's size, weight and strength he will spend most of his time at the four spot, but it helps that Godzinski is 6-8 and can definitely help out on the glass from the backcourt. Johnson is emerging as a superstar on a team that already has a lot of scoring prowess. Last year he averaged 10.0 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. Shooting for an average of a double-double is a good goal for him this season.

Frontcourt:

The backcourt might have a lot of size, especially if you really consider Johnson as a wing, but Noah Dahlman is the only returning player listed as a forward who has any major experience. Dahlman is no taller than Johnson or Godzinski, but he is a true interior player. He is not as effective on the glass as Johnson, but Dahlman did lead this team with 17.8 points per game last year and should be the leader again. Kevin Giltner, Terry Martin and Drew Crowell all started at least a couple games last year as underclassmen and they should be ready to pick up the slack when Dahlman and Johnson need a break.

Who to Watch:

Dahlman and Johnson were not the only double-digit scorers on Wofford last year. Junior Salters, who is ironically a senior, averaged 15.0 points per game during the 2008-2009 campaign and is one of the most prolific outside shooters that nobody knows about. Salters connected on three long balls per game and even started to emerge as a player who could also get to the basket and finish. If he keeps getting more aggressive, the opposition will have a tough time stopping him.

Final Projection:

Wofford returns seven players who started at least ten games last year and then added Rundles who very well could be starting from day one. Injuries were a problem last year as Salters and Godzinski missed a handful of games, but the depth in the backcourt is extremely impressive. And this group if versatile enough to move things around and cover for any injuries in frontcourt. With virtually everybody back and a few talented newcomers, Wofford could be the team to beat in the SoCon this year…especially now that Davidson is off the national radar.

Projected Post-season Tournament: none

Projected Starting Five:

Brad Loesing, Sophomore, Guard, 5.3 points per game

Junior Salters, Senior, Guard, 15.0 points per game

Corey Godzinski, Senior, Guard, 7.0 points per game

Tim Johnson, Senior, Forward, 10.0 points per game

Noah Dahlman, Junior, Forward, 17.8 points per game

first a review of the upcoming season ...
based on Mr. Pomeroy's computer rankings ... for the 2008-09 season ...

 
                           Overall  Conf
                             W-L     W-L    Pomeroy / Rnk

Gonzaga             WCC     28-6    14-0      .9563 /   7  
San Diego St.       MWC     26-10   11-5      .8858 /  33 
St. Mary's          WCC     28-7    10-4      .8393 /  56   
Kent St.*           MAC     28-7    13-3      .8260 /  72   
Nevada Las Vegas    MWC     21-11    9-7      .7895 /  75
Northeastern        CAA     19-13   12-6      .6854 / 101
Portland            WCC     19-13    9-5      .6612 / 110  
Pacific^            BW      21-13   10-6      .6388 / 113 
---------------------------------------------------------   
Santa Clara         WCC     16-17    7-7      .5566 / 142 
--------------------------------------------------------- 
UC Santa Barbara    BW      16-15    8-8      .4855 / 169 
San Diego           WCC     16-16    6-8      .4680 / 177  
San Jose St.        WAC     13-17    6-10     .4280 / 194 
Fresno St.          WAC     13-21    3-13     .3895 / 207  
Wofford*            Sou     16-14   12-8      .3155 / 233  
Rice                CUSA    10-22    4-12     .3098 / 235 
Northern Arizona    BSky     8-19    5-11     .3008 / 237   
San Francisco       WCC     11-19    3-11     .2982 / 238   
Harvard             Ivy     14-14    6-8      .2930 / 243 
Cal St. Bakersfield Ind      8-21    0-0      .2380 / 270 
New Hampshire       AmE      9-20    6-10     .1769 / 274 
Pepperdine          WCC      9-23    5-9      .1541 / 299 
Loyola Marymount    WCC      3-28    2-12     .0934 / 320  
Houston Baptist     Ind      5-25    0-0      .0912 / 324 

* possible 2nd game Cable Car match-up 
^ Pacific is Home/Home (once in the West Coast Classic MTE)

we play  WCC conference foes  min. of twice 
with a third (or fourth or fifth???) game in the WCC Tournament

D-2 / NAIA / ???
Notre Dame De Namur
Menlo
Dominican (Calif.)

maybe 18 D-1 wins ...

to put into perspective ... last year's preview ...

2008 College Basketball Ratings Percentage Index (RPI)

Through games of Sunday, March 16 2008

                        Overall  Conf       Overall     Non-Conf
                          W-L     W-L      RPI  SOS     RPI  SOS
Stanford           P10   26-7    13-5       14   56      58  295
(Nevada Las Vegas) MWC   25-7    12-4       24   63      46   61
Gonzaga            WCC   25-7    13-1       30   93      28   12
St. Mary's         WCC   24-6    12-2       36  138      17   31
Arizona*           P10   18-14    8-10      38    2       5    5
UAB                CUSA  22-10   12-4       56   95      96  165
(Belmont)          ASun  24-8    14-2       78  229      84   69
(San Diego)        WCC   20-13   11-3       94  100     159   33
Texas El Paso*     CUSA  19-13    8-8      102  121     102  213
Pacific            BW    20-10   11-5      140  269     146  307
Santa Clara        WCC   13-16    6-8      186  181     161  171

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Pepperdine         WCC   10-21    4-10     204  143     137   46
James Madison*     CAA   13-17    5-13     215  204     113  288
Montana            BSky  12-16    8-8      232  262     185  112
Florida Atlantic*  SBlt  15-18    8-10     233  247     256  309
San Jose St.       WAC   13-19    4-12     238  224     148  220
San Francisco      WCC    9-21    5-9      273  187     278  115
Portland           WCC    8-22    3-11     298  249     268  255
New Hampshire      AE     8-20    6-10     305  277     319  241
Harvard            IVY    8-22    3-11     307  235     263  203
Loyola Marymount   WCC    5-26    2-12     308  183     272  164
Sacramento St.     BSky   2-24    2-14     335  248     334  182

(conference champ)
* -- possible tourney opponent

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There SHOULD be 15 (D-1) wins there ... {some where} ...

and the ACTUAL final NCAA version --- and our record (14-17) against it ...

2009 NCAA Men's Basketball RPI 
Through Games of: Final 2009 
Generated: Wednesday 04/08/09 06:04 PM 

 RPI outcome  venue/opp. 
  21 L 95-53    @ Gonzaga  
  21 L 81-73      Gonzaga  
  21 L 94-59  WCC Gonzaga  
  45 L 63-62    @ St. Mary's (CA)  
  45 W 70-52      St. Mary's (CA)  
  49 L 69-66  NIT Arizona  
  52 L 64-61  NIT UAB  
  72 L 78-66    @ UNLV  
  82 W 89-88 ot   UTEP  
  95 L 77-69      Stanford  
 118 W 83-80      Belmont  
 127 L 53-52      Portland  
 127 W 67-75 ot @ Portland  
 138 L 63-57    @ Pacific  
 186 W 71-69    @ Montana  
 193 W 59-56    @ San Jose St.  
 194 L 54-48    @ Georgia  
 197 L 55-50    @ San Diego 
 197 W 64-62 ot   San Diego 
 197 W 80-69  WCC San Diego     (8-12)
----------------------------------------------
 198          Santa Clara  (14-17 vs. D-1)
----------------------------------------------
 201 L 58-54    @ New Hampshire (6-5) 
 245 L 73-68    @ Harvard  
 254 W 70-54      San Francisco  
 254 L 67-66    @ San Francisco  
 278 W 64-52      Pepperdine  
 278 L 66-60    @ Pepperdine  
 312 L 65-61  NIT Fla. Atlantic  
 313 W 85-59      Houston Baptist  
 317 W 82-56      Loyola Marymount  
 317 W 69-64    @ Loyola Marymount  
 341 W 51-32      Sacramento St.    

-- SCU will be adding the following for 09-10
 09  Conf      Opp.
RPI ------   ------------------
 31 MWC      San Diego St.  
 84 CAA      Northeastern 
 91 C-USA    Houston  
145 AmEast   Kent St.  
176 BWest    UC Santa Barbara  
177 Sou      Wofford  
221 C-USA    Rice 
223 WAC      Fresno St.  
295 BSky     Northern Ariz.  
300 Ind.     Cal St. Bakersfield  

comments:

so in analyzing the record ... it looks like we should have been about an RPI 120 team ... not the 198 that probably came about of those "bad" losses ... especially if you figure in the "7-point-home-advantage" rule ... and we could have been an 18-13 team ... or better ... with a little more consistency ... and that is something I know the coaches have been addressing ...



edited to fix the USD loss/win location & add the final D-1 record
add the comments